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Mancora Surf Stats

All swells

(any wind direction)
Mancora.surf.statistics.julyWnw.animatedWnw.label.animated

Good Surf

(light / offshore wind)

The figure illustrates the variation of swells directed at Mancora over a normal July, based on 3472 NWW3 model predictions since 2006 (values every 3 hours). The wave model does not forecast wind or surf right at the shore so we have chosen the optimum grid node based on what we know about Mancora. In this particular case the best grid node is 50 km away (31 miles). The rose diagram illustrates the distribution of swell directions and swell sizes, while the graph at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. These happened only 23% of the time. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast. The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the SSW. Because the wave model grid is offshore, sometimes a strong offshore wind blows largest waves away from Mancora and away from the coast. We group these with the no surf category of the bar chart. To avoid confusion we don't show these in the rose graph. Because wind determines whether or not waves are clean enough to surf at Mancora, you can load a different image that shows only the swells that were predicted to coincide with glassy or offshore wind conditions. During a typical July, swells large enough to cause surfable waves at Mancora run for about 77% of the time.

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  • Mancora.surf.statistics.februaryWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.marchWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.aprilWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.mayWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.juneWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.julyWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.augustWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.septemberWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.octoberWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.novemberWnw.animated
  • Mancora.surf.statistics.decemberWnw.animated

Also see Mancora wind stats

Compare Mancora with another surf break